Companies / Goodyear

Goodyear GT

Tires & Inner Tubes · Balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026 · $ in millions

Next 12 Months: Starting Case
$ in millionsLast 12 MonthsNext Quarter (4Q26E)vs. 4Q25ANext 12 MonthsChange
Revenue$17,588$4,908(0.2%)$17,9892.3%
Adj. EBITDA$1,322$331(38.6%)$1,045(20.9%)
Free Cash Flow$90($3)(100.2%)($230)(355.9%)
Net Debt, end of period$6,557$6,560$6,7873.5%
Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA5.0x5.9x6.5x+1.5x
Total Liquidity, end of period$3,234$3,231$3,004(7.1%)
The credit over the next year

Goodyear's next year turns on whether replacement tire volume stops falling and the Americas plants run fuller: lower production pushed conversion costs up $458mm year over year in the first nine months of 2026 and cut segment operating income to $305mm from $641mm. Raw materials flip from a $150mm nine-month tailwind to a guided $170mm fourth-quarter headwind as oil-linked inputs reprice, so price and mix (revenue per tire up about 3% a year) has to carry margin. The offsets are the last Goodyear Forward savings (about $110mm guided for Q4 2026) and the Fayetteville plant closure ($90mm of Americas profit in 2027 and $270mm a year from 2028), which matter because $700mm of 2027 notes come due against $812mm of cash.

  • Leverage rises from 5.0x to 6.5x over the next four quarters on the starting case.
  • The company burns $230mm of cash over the next year on the starting case, on top of $818mm of debt due, so liquidity has to fund it.
  • Net debt grows from $6.56bn to $6.79bn; maturing debt is assumed refinanced unless changed in the model.
  • Liquidity a year out is $3.00bn, against $3.23bn today.

Due inside a year: 4.875% Senior Notes due 2027 ($700mm); 7.625% Senior Notes due 2027 (assumed from Cooper Tire) ($118mm).

Built from the inputs on the Projections tab of the model; change them there. A starting case from history, not a forecast.

Capital Structure
Cap StructureAmt Out.Mkt PriceYieldLev. ThroughView
Unrestricted Cash$812.0
EUR 800mm European Revolving Credit Facility due 2028619.0100.0%3.93%0.5xNeutral
$2.75bn First Lien Revolving Credit Facility due 203057.0100.0%5.15%0.5xNeutral
Pan-European accounts receivable securitization facility228.0100.0%4.45%0.7xNeutral
Finance lease obligations255.0100.0%N/a0.9xNeutral
4.875% Senior Notes due 2027700.099.8%*5.23%1.4xNeutral
7.625% Senior Notes due 2027 (assumed from Cooper Tire)118.0100.0%7.62%1.5xNeutral
2.75% Euro Senior Notes due 2028 (EUR 400mm)455.0100.0%2.75%1.8xNeutral
7% Notes due 2028150.0100.0%7.00%2.0xNeutral
Mexican revolving credit facility ($200mm, undrawn)0.0100.0%N/a2.0xNeutral
5% Senior Notes due 2029850.095.5%*6.67%2.6xNeutral
6.625% Senior Notes due 2030500.096.7%*7.60%3.0xNeutral
5.25% Senior Notes due July 2031600.089.8%*7.76%3.4xBearish
5.25% Senior Notes due April 2031550.089.8%*8.01%3.8xBearish
8.875% Senior Notes due 20321,050.0102.0%*8.45%4.6xBearish
5.625% Senior Notes due 2033450.086.9%*8.28%5.0xBearish
Notes payable and overdrafts (short term)349.0100.0%N/a5.2xBearish
Other foreign and domestic debt316.0100.0%N/a5.5xBearish
Chinese credit facilities (long term portion)156.0100.0%N/a5.6xBearish
Total Debt$7,369.05.6x
Net Debt$6,557.05.0x
Last Twelve Months
Revenue$17,588
Implied Costs(16,266)
Adj. EBITDA$1,322
(-) Interest Expense(415)
(-) Capex(658)
Memo: FCF$90
Total Liquidity$3,234.0