Companies / O-I Glass

O-I Glass OI

Glass containers · Balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026 · $ in millions

Next 12 Months: Starting Case
$ in millionsLast 12 MonthsNext Quarter (4Q26E)vs. 4Q25ANext 12 MonthsChange
Revenue$6,331$1,468(2.1%)$6,299(0.5%)
Adj. EBITDA$148($263)13.9%$330123.0%
Free Cash Flow($44)($471)(252.5%)($532)(1108.2%)
Net Debt, end of period$4,420$4,891$4,95212.0%
Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA29.9x25.7x15.0x-14.9x
Total Liquidity, end of period$1,533$1,062$1,001(34.7%)
The credit over the next year

O-I's credit over the next year turns on whether European margins recover from near zero: segment profit there fell to $2 million in the third quarter as weaker prices met energy contracts that reset higher and a European gas price that jumped to about $21 per MMBtu. Shipments are still falling but by less each quarter (down 9%, 5%, then 3% in 2026), and the company guides flat volume plus about $170 million of further Fit to Win savings in 2027 to rebuild EBITDA from the $925 to $950 million guided for 2026. With free cash flow guided at about negative $300 million for 2026 and leverage heading to 4.5 to 5.0 times, a second year of high gas prices or weak European pricing would leave little cushion.

  • Leverage falls from 29.9x to 15.0x over the next four quarters on the starting case.
  • The company burns $532mm of cash over the next year on the starting case, so liquidity has to fund it.
  • Net debt grows from $4.42bn to $4.95bn.
  • Liquidity a year out is $1.00bn, against $1.53bn today.
  • Company guidance for fiscal 2026: adjusted EBITDA of $925mm to $950mm on its own definition, free cash flow of -$300mm.

Built from the inputs on the Projections tab of the model; change them there. A starting case from history, not a forecast.

Capital Structure
Cap StructureAmt Out.Mkt PriceYieldLev. ThroughView
Unrestricted Cash$379.0
Term Loans A due 2030 (Tranche A-1 in U.S. dollars and Tranche A-2 in euros)789.0100.0%N/a5.3xNeutral
Multicurrency Revolving Credit Facility due 203090.0100.0%N/a5.9xNeutral
Term Loans B due 2032 (Tranche B-1)639.0100.0%N/a10.3xNeutral
Finance leases142.0100.0%N/a11.2xNeutral
6.250% Senior Notes due 2028 (EUR 600mm)680.0100.0%6.25%15.8xBearish
5.250% Senior Notes due 2029 (EUR 500mm)567.0100.0%5.25%19.6xBearish
4.750% Senior Notes due 2030400.0100.0%4.75%22.3xBearish
7.250% Senior Notes due 2031690.0100.0%7.25%27.0xNeutral
7.375% Senior Notes due 2032300.0100.0%7.38%29.0xNeutral
9.500% Senior Notes due 2033500.0100.0%9.50%32.4xNeutral
Other long-term debt27.0100.0%N/a32.6xNeutral
Total Debt$4,799.032.4x
Net Debt$4,420.029.9x
Last Twelve Months
Revenue$6,331
Implied Costs(6,183)
Adj. EBITDA$148
(-) Interest Expense(332)
(-) Capex(411)
Memo: FCF($44)
Total Liquidity$1,533.0