Companies / Sabre

Sabre SABR

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. · Balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026 · $ in millions

Moody's B3 (stable)S&P B- (negative)

Next 12 Months: Starting Case
$ in millionsLast 12 MonthsNext Quarter (4Q26E)vs. 4Q25ANext 12 MonthsChange
Revenue$2,877$6802.1%$2,9211.5%
Adj. EBITDA$563$122(0.1%)$5691.1%
Free Cash Flow($77)($24)(120.5%)($20)73.8%
Net Debt, end of period$3,780$3,804$3,8000.5%
Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA6.7x6.8x6.7x+0.0x
Total Liquidity, end of period$588$565$568(3.5%)
The credit over the next year

Sabre's credit turns on whether air Marketplace bookings keep growing while the average booking fee climbs faster than the incentives it pays travel agencies, because that spread funds over $480 million a year of interest. Management guides 2026 air bookings up low-to-mid single digits and expects positive free cash flow in 2027, but year to date air bookings are up under 2% and the third quarter fell 1% on Middle East disruption. Each 1 million air bookings is worth about $6 million of quarterly revenue and each 10 cents of booking fee about $9.5 million, so small misses on volume or rate decide whether free cash flow turns positive.

  • Leverage holds roughly flat from 6.7x to 6.7x over the next four quarters on the starting case.
  • The company burns $20mm of cash over the next year on the starting case, so liquidity has to fund it.
  • Net debt is roughly unchanged from $3.78bn to $3.80bn.
  • Liquidity a year out is $568mm, against $588mm today.
  • Company guidance for fiscal 2026: adjusted EBITDA of $610mm on its own definition, free cash flow of -$50mm.

Built from the inputs on the Projections tab of the model; change them there. A starting case from history, not a forecast.

Capital Structure
Cap StructureAmt Out.Mkt PriceYieldLev. ThroughView
Unrestricted Cash$588.3
2024 Term Loan B-1397.1100.0%N/a0.7xNeutral
2025 Term Loan B-1286.1100.0%N/a1.2xNeutral
10.750% Senior Secured Notes due 2029193.8100.0%10.75%1.6xNeutral
FILO Facility (first-in, last-out term tranche of the receivables securitization)120.0100.0%N/a1.8xNeutral
AR Facility (revolving tranche of the receivables securitization)93.0100.0%N/a1.9xNeutral
2025 Term Loan B-286.1100.0%N/a2.1xNeutral
2024 Term Loan B-273.7100.0%N/a2.2xNeutral
11.125% Senior Secured Notes due 202969.3106.1%*8.36%2.3xNeutral
11.125% Senior Secured Notes due 20301,325.0100.0%11.12%4.7xNeutral
10.750% Senior Secured Notes due 2030469.8100.0%10.75%5.5xNeutral
9.875% Senior Secured Notes due 20321,350.0100.0%9.88%7.9xBearish
7.00% Senior Exchangeable Notes due 2031150.0100.0%7.00%8.2xBearish
Total Debt$4,368.37.8x
Net Debt$3,779.96.7x
Last Twelve Months
Revenue$2,877
Implied Costs(2,314)
Adj. EBITDA$563
(-) Interest Expense(486)
(-) Capex(94)
Memo: FCF($77)
Total Liquidity$588.3