Companies / Sunoco

Sunoco SUN

Petroleum Refining · Balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026 · $ in millions

Moody's Ba1 (stable)S&P BB+ (stable)Fitch BB+ (stable)

Next 12 Months: Starting Case
$ in millionsLast 12 MonthsNext Quarter (4Q26E)vs. 4Q25ANext 12 MonthsChange
Revenue$51,578$12,73148.0%$57,71811.9%
Adj. EBITDA$3,465$54633.7%$3,7167.2%
Free Cash Flow$2,064$113(71.1%)$1,911(7.4%)
Net Debt, end of period$12,403$12,290$10,492(15.4%)
Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA3.6x3.4x2.8x-0.8x
Total Liquidity, end of period$3,060$3,173$4,97162.5%
The credit over the next year

Sunoco is now a much larger fuel distributor after buying Parkland on October 31, 2025, and leverage is back to about 3.5x, so the next year turns on whether fuel margin holds near 17 cents a gallon on roughly 4.2 billion gallons a quarter. Each cent of margin is about $42mm of quarterly gross profit, while pipelines and terminals add steady fee income. The swing factor is the Burnaby refinery, whose profit rose from $40mm to $243mm a quarter in 2026 on refining margins that can fall back quickly.

  • Leverage falls from 3.6x to 2.8x over the next four quarters on the starting case.
  • Free cash flow of $1.91bn is projected over the next year, enough to cover the $1.05bn of debt due in that time.
  • Net debt shrinks from $12.40bn to $10.49bn; maturing debt is assumed refinanced unless changed in the model.
  • Liquidity a year out is $4.97bn, against $3.06bn today.
  • Company guidance for fiscal 2026: adjusted EBITDA of $3.50bn to $3.70bn on its own definition.

Due inside a year: 5.625% Senior Notes due 2027 (NuStar Logistics) ($550mm); 5.875% Senior Notes due 2027 ($499mm).

Built from the inputs on the Projections tab of the model; change them there. A starting case from history, not a forecast.

Capital Structure
Cap StructureAmt Out.Mkt PriceYieldLev. ThroughView
Unrestricted Cash$760.0
5.625% Senior Notes due 2027 (NuStar Logistics)550.0100.0%5.62%0.2xBullish
5.875% Senior Notes due 2027499.0100.0%*5.83%0.3xBullish
7.000% Senior Notes due 2028500.0101.8%*5.10%0.4xBullish
5.875% Senior Notes due 2028400.0100.1%*5.75%0.6xBullish
4.500% Senior Notes due 2029 (May)800.097.8%*5.47%0.8xBullish
4.500% Senior Notes due 2029 (October)790.097.8%*5.32%1.0xBullish
7.000% Senior Notes due 2029750.0102.5%*5.30%1.2xBullish
4.375% CAD Senior Notes due 2029383.0100.0%4.37%1.3xBullish
4.500% Senior Notes due 2030800.097.0%*5.44%1.6xBullish
4.625% Senior Notes due 2030798.096.8%*5.65%1.8xBullish
6.375% Senior Notes due 2030 (NuStar Logistics)600.0100.0%6.37%2.0xBullish
Revolving Credit Facility due 2030111.0100.0%4.35%2.0xBullish
5.625% Senior Notes due 20311,000.099.4%*5.78%2.3xBullish
5.375% Senior Notes due 2031600.098.7%*5.68%2.5xBullish
7.250% Senior Notes due 2032750.0103.4%*6.50%2.7xBullish
6.625% Senior Notes due 2032493.0101.6%*6.30%2.8xBullish
6.250% Senior Notes due 20331,000.0100.5%*6.15%3.1xBullish
5.875% Senior Notes due 2034900.098.5%*6.13%3.4xBullish
5.625% Senior Notes due 2034600.097.1%*6.09%3.6xBullish
GoZone Bonds Series 2008 (6.10%, put 2030)56.0100.0%6.10%3.6xBullish
GoZone Bonds Series 2010 (6.35%)100.0100.0%6.35%3.6xBullish
GoZone Bonds Series 2010B (6.10%, put 2030)48.0100.0%6.10%3.6xBullish
GoZone Bonds Series 2010A (6.35%)43.0100.0%6.35%3.6xBullish
GoZone Bonds Series 2011 (3.70%, put 2030)75.0100.0%3.70%3.6xBullish
Lease-related financing obligations and other subsidiary debt597.0100.0%N/a3.8xBullish
Total Debt$13,163.03.8x
Net Debt$12,403.03.6x
Last Twelve Months
Revenue$51,578
Implied Costs(48,113)
Adj. EBITDA$3,465
(-) Interest Expense(726)
(-) Capex(579)
Memo: FCF$2,064
Total Liquidity$3,060.0